Forecast Uruguay vs Brazil Copa America 2024

Copa America, Uruguay – Brasile: Predictions, Odds, and Match Analysis

The quarter-final of the

Copa America

between Uruguay and Brazil promises to be explosive. The Verdeoro, surprisingly placing second in their group, will face Marcelo Bielsa’s Celeste, who have achieved three victories out of three, including a 1-0 win against the home team of the United States. The match will take place on Sunday, July 7th at 3 a.m. and will be broadcast live on Sportitalia.

Brazil without Vinicius heavily disadvantaged, Uruguay favored

The odds slightly favor Brazil, but the absence of

Vinicius Junior

, disqualified due to accumulated yellow cards, could prove crucial. The Real Madrid striker, who has already scored two goals in this Copa America, will be sorely missed by the Brazilian team, further strengthening Uruguay’s chances, despite what the odds suggest.

Uruguay – Brazil, The History

Historically, Brazil has a clear advantage over Uruguay with 40 victories to 22, and 17 draws in their previous meetings. However, the last match, played last October, was won by Uruguay 2-0. In the last 10 direct clashes, Brazil has emerged victorious 7 times, with 2 draws and only one win for Uruguay.

Likely lineups

Uruguay – Brasile, da 1X2 odds

Even though Uruguay has won all the games in the tournament (scoring 9 goals and conceding only 1), the bookies slightly favor Brazil. Here’s a comparison of the odds:

The goal and no goal betting odds

Bookies aren’t expecting many goals, making the “No Goal” bet the favorite. Here are the main odds:


Uruguay – Brasile, the shape matters

Uruguay has shown freshness and determination throughout this Copa America, clearly superior to Brazil and the other participants. The Verdeoro has missed crucial opportunities against both Costa Rica and Colombia, despite never falling behind.

Furthermore, Uruguay has a closer relationship with the Copa America compared to Brazil, which, apart from the 2019 success, has suffered many disappointments. Finally, although Bielsa has a negative record against Brazil, with Uruguay it’s one to zero, suggesting he may have found a winning formula.

The Forecast: Uruguay Triumphs (or Qualifies)

The absence of Vinicius is too heavy a blow for a Brazil already struggling. Uruguay, despite being the underdog in the official odds, seems to be the favored team to advance to the next round.

Exact Result

We reckon on a win for Uruguay, eh. It could be a real battle with a few different scenarios on the table. Here are some options for the exact result, eh:

Final Forecast: Uruguay to Win

After examining the information, we feel confident in predicting a victory for Uruguay. This forecast is based on a number of key factors:

  1. Absence of Vinicius

    : The absence of a key player like Vinicius Junior could unsettle Brazil’s attack, making it less dangerous.
  2. Uruguay’s Form: The Celeste has shown excellent physical and mental form, with a solid defense and a sharp attack, as evidenced by 9 goals scored and only 1 conceded.
  3. Recent Favorable History: Uruguay’s last victory over Brazil could provide a significant psychological boost to Bielsa’s team.
  4. Bielsa’s Tactical Competence: Despite an overall negative record against Brazil, Bielsa’s experience and tactical intelligence could make the difference in a tight and decisive match like this one.

Taking all these factors into account, our forecast is for a

Uruguay victory

. The possible exact result may vary, but we expect a closely contested match. The odds for a 2-0 victory are around 12.50, while for a 2-1 victory around 11.00. This reflects our belief that Uruguay is in a strong position and has everything it takes to prevail against Brazil in this quarter-final of the Copa America.

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